OAR@UM Community:
/library/oar/handle/123456789/6578
2025-12-25T22:15:14ZOn the use of measure-correlate-predict methodologies and energy demand forecasting to assess energy storage capabilities for offshore wind farms
/library/oar/handle/123456789/141615
Title: On the use of measure-correlate-predict methodologies and energy demand forecasting to assess energy storage capabilities for offshore wind farms
Abstract: Energy storage is crucial for the continued penetration of renewable energy. One of the most
important reasons for this is that, for a given point of time, the availability of renewable energy
resources rarely matches the demand for electrical energy. The integration of offshore windfarms
with energy storage facilities, requires a capital-intensive investment which can only be justified by
an adequate return on investment (ROI). Currently, Measure-Correlate-Predict (MCP) analysis is
used to assess the viability of offshore windfarms while energy demand forecasting is normally used
to manage and plan the electricity grid infrastructure. This research combined wind energy prediction
methodologies with Energy Demand Forecasting (EDF) methodologies to size the energy storage
capacity for an offshore windfarm and evaluated the economic feasibility.
This research analysed various regression techniques for MCP analysis. Data from a Light Detection
and Ranging (LiDAR) system were utilised. The study was extended to analyse the behaviour of a
hypothetical floating windfarm, situated off the Northern Coast of the Island of Malta. The effect of
using the different regression techniques for MCP analysis on the power output from the windfarm
could therefore be evaluated.
The second part of the research used a combination of ARIMA and regression techniques to forecast
the energy demand over several years. The output from the windfarm was applied to a model which
integrated the said windfarm to an Energy Storage System (ESS) and the electricity grid.
Measurement matrices were used to compare the behaviour of the combined windfarm, ESS and
electricity grid, based on the actual and predicted data from the various regression techniques used
for the MCP analysis and EDF. This created a matrix of results which was used to determine the
optimal combination of regression techniques used for MCP analysis and EDF, following which, the
optimal capacity of the ESS was established. The long-term behaviour of the windfarm and the of the
energy storage system were also predicted. The Levelised Cost of Energy (LCOE) for the windfarm
and the Levelised Cost of Storage (LCOS) for the Energy Storage System were also calculated, using
different windfarm scenarios, and analysing the error due to the use of the MCP and EDF
methodologies.
This research therefore established a methodology for combining MCP and EDF to determine the
optimal capacity of an ESS which was coupled to an offshore windfarm and the electricity grid. The
error in establishing this capacity was determined. The end result was the determination of the LCOE
of the windfarm and the LCOS of the ESS based on the combination of MCP analysis and EDF,
together with the error introduced due to the use of the two methodologies.
Description: Ph.D.(Melit.)2023-01-01T00:00:00ZInvestigating wind variations within the atmospheric boundary layer : a Maltese case study using LiDAR
/library/oar/handle/123456789/130603
Title: Investigating wind variations within the atmospheric boundary layer : a Maltese case study using LiDAR
Abstract: Conventional wind monitoring masts, with sensors at multiple levels, have typically
formed an essential part of wind measurement campaigns to gauge wind parameters and
climatological behaviour at a potential wind turbine site. As bigger, megawatt-class
wind turbines are being introduced into the market, monitoring masts need to be taller
to reach the machines’ hub height. However, this results in costlier masts and in
particular, makes offshore measurements more challenging. Therefore, remote sensing
technologies, such as Light Detecting and Ranging (LiDAR), are becoming increasingly
popular due to the precise nature in which they capture wind flow data at altitudes
beyond those attainable with traditional monitoring masts.
In July 2022 a LiDAR wind measurement system was set up atop the White Tower at l- Aħrax limits of Mellieħa, Malta. Over the course of one calendar year (12 months),
spanning from 1 September 2022 to 31 August 2023, data was collected by this LiDAR
unit at 10 different heights ranging from 11 m to 191 m above the unit’s window (20 m
and 200 m above ground level, respectively). As a result, data collected enabled a more
detailed analysis, besides that of wind speed, wind direction, standard deviation of wind
speed, turbulence intensity, and temperature. The variation of wind speed shear and
wind direction shear were assessed independently and in relation with other collected
wind parameters on monthly and cumulative 12-month basis.
The objective of this study was to assess the variation of wind within the atmospheric
boundary layer at a coastal location in Malta. This study ensued by collecting raw data
at the coastal location namely wind speed, wind direction, turbulence intensity, and
atmospheric temperature. Whilst the raw data was assessed, their variations, namely
wind speed shear and wind direction shear also underwent analysis.
The horizontal wind speed at the White Tower measurement was observed to increase
with elevation with an overall average of 6.33 ms-1 at 100 m. The diurnal average
horizontal wind speed pattern shows that this is low during the night and higher during
the day. Furthermore, the vector average wind direction varied from 280.09° (west) at
20 m to 290.73° (west-northwest) at 200 m. In addition, the vector average wind
direction at 100 m at the White Tower site was 288.07° (west-northwest).
The wind shear exponent yielded was 0.0468 which is significantly lower than the 1/7
(0.14) value generally adopted by the power law. Moreover, the average wind shear
exponent increased in magnitude as lower heights were eliminated from the wind shear
value derived using the power with values being in line with that observed in literature.
Furthermore, the diurnal pattern revealed that the shear exponent decreases during the
daytime and increases at nighttime. On the other hand, the variation of the average shear
exponent during warm months is observed to be higher during the night whilst negative
shear exponent values were noted during daytime.
Monthly variations of the average wind direction shear showed no distinct pattern in the
difference between the pairs of heights assessed i.e., 200 m & 20 m, 200 m & 100 m,
and 100 m & 20 m respective pairs. However, the diurnal variation of the average change
in wind direction fluctuates during the warm months, whereas a relatively constant
average change in wind direction with minor fluctuations is observed during the cool
months. Average wind direction changes are also greater during warm months than
those observed during cool months.
The turbulence intensity is noted to decrease with higher elevation ranging from 13.1%
at 20 m to 9.2% at 200 m. Moreover, the diurnal variation in average turbulence intensity
demonstrates fluctuations over the 24-hour period, with higher values during the day
and lower values during the night. At the 100 m measurement height, turbulence
intensity was highest at low wind speeds and decreased as wind speed increases.
Description: M.Sc.(Melit.) Sust.Energy2024-01-01T00:00:00ZAssessing the impact of energy efficiency measures on building performance and resident behaviour : a case study of social & private housing in Malta
/library/oar/handle/123456789/130602
Title: Assessing the impact of energy efficiency measures on building performance and resident behaviour : a case study of social & private housing in Malta
Abstract: Energy efficiency behaviour is a complex matter which is related to the interaction between
human behaviour and energy consumption. Understanding residents' behaviour could help to
mitigate emissions from Malta's building sector, which has witnessed a rise in greenhouse gas
(GHG) emissions over the past two decades. The aim of this dissertation is to analyse the energy
building performance as well as the behaviour of residents within Malta’s first energy efficient
social housing project, the Tal-Ftieh complex. Additionally, a sample of beneficiaries from the
Irrinova Darek and Regulator for Energy and Water ¸£ÀûÔÚÏßÃâ·Ñ (REWS) Roof thermal insulation
and double-glazing financial support initiatives were also included in the study. This research
involved a mixed-method approach, which included interviews, temperature and humidity
monitoring within the dwellings using data loggers, collection of data from energy bills, and
energy performance calculation utilising Design Builder software specifically for the Tal-Ftieh
housing project. The results from the DesignBuilder software indicate that the Tal-Ftieh housing
apartments are energy efficient as their energy performance is lower than the national average.
However, the data collected from the latest available energy bills shows relatively higher energy
consumption and also notable variation amongst the participants. Moreover, their daily per capita
energy consumption also tends to exceed that of participants from both the REWS and Irrinova
Darek schemes. This highlights the important role of residents’ energy behaviour. As regards
thermal comfort, the measured indoor temperature of the Tal-Ftieh participants exceeded the
international guidelines on several occasions. Furthermore, the measured indoor humidity levels
were also high for all participants most of the time, especially for the participants from the REWS
scheme, who reside in terraced houses. Meanwhile, the results from the interviews showed that
the tal-Ftieh participants had poor knowledge regarding the energy efficient measures installed
in the building and this affected their energy behaviour. This scenario contrasts with the REWS
and Irrinova Darek beneficiaries for whom the energy efficiency measures constituted an
investment risk. Another important finding from the research was that the primary motivator for
investing in energy efficient measures is cost savings. Based on these findings, the dissertation
presents a number of policy recommendations to enhance energy efficiency behaviour in Malta
and make progress towards reducing emissions from the residential building sector.
Description: M.Sc.(Melit.) Sust.Energy2024-01-01T00:00:00ZDesign and testing of a modular photovoltaic and insulation solution for flat roofs
/library/oar/handle/123456789/130600
Title: Design and testing of a modular photovoltaic and insulation solution for flat roofs
Abstract: The study presented in this dissertation sought to design, develop, and test a combined
modular photovoltaic and insulation solution for flat roofs, which was based on a
conceptual design referred to as MedSolar. MedSolar sought to present a building
integrated photovoltaic which is specifically designed for the requirements of Malta, and
other countries with similar climatic conditions, adding value in terms of increased
energy generation, minimised aesthetics and improved ease of installation This study
optimised the initial conceptual design, and further altered the optimised design into a
prototype, resulting in nine variants with most of them tested. The design incorporated
features such as insulation, reflectors placed within the space between two sets of custom
designed photovoltaic (PV) modules, wiring embedded within the design, and
modularity features. An experimental campaign studied the energy generated from set
ups with the following configurations: Flat PVs, PVs with a tilt angle of 30° with and
without reflectors, and PVs with a tilt angle of 15° with and without reflectors. The
experiment also studied the impact of the design itself had on the performance of the
full-scale prototype. Data from different seasons were collected, and overall, the
configuration with reflectors having PVs tilted at 30° yielded the best results. The same
configuration was found to produce exceptional results during the summer month, with
the reflector aiding in an increase of 15% in energy generation when compared to its
counterpart without reflector whilst at the same time shielding the MedSolar tile from
direct solar irradiance. Reflectors used for the configuration with PVs tilted at 15° were
also found to be very effective, but not effective during the summer months. In addition,
reflectors were found to be effective on days with significant cloudiness, leading to the
conclusion that reflectors were effective in reflecting diffused irradiance onto the surface
of the opposing custom PV module. In addition, reflectors from adjacent PV modules
were found to be positively impacting electricity generation. Finally, this study
contributed towards the research in the field of insulation incorporated within building
integrated photovoltaics (BIPVs), which during the Literature Review was found to be
very limited. Testing of the effectiveness of insulation during the summer months found
that insulation incorporated within the proposed tiles was very effective, resulting in a
significant reduction in the U-Value when compared to the original U-Value of the roof
section that was studied.
Description: M.Sc.(Melit.)2024-01-01T00:00:00Z